Picard was in the Federation...
You were not JasonB, thus Picard is right, and you're wrong...
as much as i hate to agree with jasonb, your argument is less than satisfying when coming from someone who once responded to my question of 'if george lucas came out and flatly stated that star wars would destroy star trek in a fight, and then declared firepower numbers so high that accepting them would end the debate instantly to be canon, would you accept that' with 'no, i would still rely on the evidence seen in the movies'. if picard says the federation is losing, but jason thinks the evidence outside that statement shows otherwise, the statement itself is not enough to prove the point.
Except his points make no fucking sense, as he uses anything but the alternate universe's facts...
He uses what is seen in ENT as if it mattered in "Yesterday's Enterprise"...
It does not!
He uses things that have no relations to YE to try to explain why Picard, THE CAPTAIN OF THE FLAGSHIP OF THE FEDERATION, WHO IS IN THE THICK OF THINGS AND SHOULD KNOW DAMN WELL WHAT HE WAS SAYING, CLEARLY STATED THE FUCKING FEDERATION WAS FUCKING LOSING...
GL saying he thinks SW would lose has nothing to bear on what is shown onscreen...
Picard, IU, saying the Federation was losing, with nothing to contradict him in YE's continuity, has much higher value than JasonB's inane drivel...