359 wrote:Yes, they have done it before and afterwards, in both the Dominion war and to the Klingons before in "Enterprise." Also there is no indication that Section 31 is using that tactic in this conflict, and throwing in unknown factors into consideration does not make any sense.
Oh I'm just pointing out that it has been done directly and indirectly by S31. So there is precedence for such a thing canonically. And another thing, I am certainly not saying Jason is right about the Federation winning in "Yesterday's Enterprise". Picard clearly states that they were losing, or so badly off that Starfleet command believed defeat was inevitable and surrender likely in six months.
359 wrote:In DS9: "Statistical Probabilities" Bashier and his group projected 900 billion casualties, now it is not made clear if this is both Dominion and Alliance or just the alliance which would suffer these losses. Either way 40 billion seems to be a reasonable loss on that scale without any plague, and including genocide.
Also it is likely that Starfleet Intelligence would have noticed such an infection, so either it does not exist or is inconsequential to the outcome of the war (either way it would have been taken into account in Picard's statement.
Yes, they did. But that was based on a flawed set of analysis since obviously the war was eventually won by the Federation and it's allies. Also the Jack Pack did not even know that S31 had spread a virus to the Founders, and might not have even factored that into their equations.
But that's neither here nor there. The 900 billion number, while not directly stated as such, is in context of the Federation losing the war, and given the Jack Pack and Bashier would not care as much about Dominion causalties as they would Federation ones, it is the most likely connection one can make in regards to that figure.
With the "Yesterday's Enterprise" 40 billion given by Gunian is not given by her in such a context. Picard later on to Captain Garrett indicates surrender is likely in 6 months to get her to go back. But even if the 40 billion number were for the Federation only, we can make a reasonable assumption that winning or not, the Klingons have taken similar causalties, maybe even considerably more into order to overrun the Federation forces.
-Mike